The absence of a broader economic effect from the current oil price surge could give policymakers more confidence to use sanctions against oil rogues.
For General Petraeus, arming the Sunni militias is simply a practical decision. But left unsaid is a larger impulse behind this tactic: the U.S. is pursuing a balance of power strategy in the Persian Gulf region. If it was not, it would simply allow Iraq's Shi'ites, perhaps with Iran's support, to ruthlessly hunt down the al Qaeda cells in Iraq, crushing the Sunni population in the process. But the U.S. is not allowing this to happen. Instinctively or not, it is U.S. policy to prevent any one player from achieving too much power in the Persian Gulf region.
Will it take another al Qaeda strike on the U.S. to prompt action against al Qaeda's new base in Pakistan? Robert Haddick explores what can and should be done.
Foreign policy in the modern era has always been a matter of state, never a private venture directly implemented. This state of affairs may now be changing. The long era of the nation-states' monopoly on foreign policy may coming to an end. Robert Haddick explains.
If Bush pursues the "surge" option, here's how the political dynamics will shift.